dc.contributor | Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus |
dc.contributor.author | Belvis-Costes, Francesc Xavier |
dc.contributor.author | Aleta Casas, Alberto |
dc.contributor.author | Padilla-Pozo, Álvaro |
dc.contributor.author | Pericas, Juan M |
dc.contributor.author | Fernández-Gracia, Juan |
dc.contributor.author | Rodriguez, Jorge P |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-06-23T11:59:19Z |
dc.date.available | 2023-06-23T11:59:19Z |
dc.date.issued | 2023-06-15 |
dc.identifier.citation | Belvis F, Aleta A, Padilla-Pozo Á, Pericàs J-M, Fernández-Gracia J, Rodríguez JP, et al. Key epidemiological indicators and spatial autocorrelation patterns across five waves of COVID-19 in Catalonia. Sci Rep. 2023 Jun 15;13:9709. |
dc.identifier.issn | 2045-2322 |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/11351/9878 |
dc.description | Epidemiology; Statistics |
dc.description.abstract | This research studies the evolution of COVID-19 crude incident rates, effective reproduction number R(t) and their relationship with incidence spatial autocorrelation patterns in the 19 months following the disease outbreak in Catalonia (Spain). A cross-sectional ecological panel design based on n = 371 health-care geographical units is used. Five general outbreaks are described, systematically preceded by generalized values of R(t) > 1 in the two previous weeks. No clear regularities concerning possible initial focus appear when comparing waves. As for autocorrelation, we identify a wave’s baseline pattern in which global Moran’s I increases rapidly in the first weeks of the outbreak to descend later. However, some waves significantly depart from the baseline. In the simulations, both baseline pattern and departures can be reproduced when measures aimed at reducing mobility and virus transmissibility are introduced. Spatial autocorrelation is inherently contingent on the outbreak phase and is also substantially modified by external interventions affecting human behavior. |
dc.language.iso | eng |
dc.publisher | Nature Portfolio |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | Scientific Reports;13 |
dc.rights | Attribution 4.0 International |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
dc.source | Scientia |
dc.subject | COVID-19 (Malaltia) - Epidemiologia - Catalunya |
dc.subject.mesh | Coronavirus Infections |
dc.subject.mesh | /epidemiology |
dc.subject.mesh | Disease Outbreaks |
dc.subject.mesh | Catalonia |
dc.title | Key epidemiological indicators and spatial autocorrelation patterns across five waves of COVID-19 in Catalonia |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1038/s41598-023-36169-2 |
dc.subject.decs | infecciones por Coronavirus |
dc.subject.decs | /epidemiología |
dc.subject.decs | brotes de enfermedades |
dc.subject.decs | Cataluña |
dc.relation.publishversion | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-36169-2 |
dc.type.version | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.audience | Professionals |
dc.contributor.organismes | Institut Català de la Salut |
dc.contributor.authoraffiliation | [Belvis F] Research Group on Health Inequalities, Environment, and Employment Conditions (GREDS EMCONET), Department of Political and Social Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain. Johns Hopkins University-Universitat Pompeu Fabra Public Policy Center (JHU-UPF PPC), Barcelona, Spain. [Aleta A] Institute for Biocomputation and Physics of Complex Systems (BIFI), University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain. [Padilla-Pozo Á] Research Group on Health Inequalities, Environment, and Employment Conditions (GREDS EMCONET), Department of Political and Social Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain. Johns Hopkins University-Universitat Pompeu Fabra Public Policy Center (JHU-UPF PPC), Barcelona, Spain. Department of Sociology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA. [Pericàs JM] Research Group on Health Inequalities, Environment, and Employment Conditions (GREDS EMCONET), Department of Political and Social Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain. Johns Hopkins University-Universitat Pompeu Fabra Public Policy Center (JHU-UPF PPC), Barcelona, Spain. Unitat d’Hepatologia, Servei de Medicina Interna, Vall d’Hebron Hospital Universitari, Barcelona, Spain. Vall d’Hebron Institut de Recerca (VHIR), Barcelona, Spain. CIBERehd, Barcelona, Spain. Infectious Disease Department, Hospital Clínic, Barcelona, Spain. [Fernández-Gracia J] Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar Y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB), Palma de Mallorca, Spain. [Rodríguez JP] Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar Y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB), Palma de Mallorca, Spain. Instituto Mediterráneo de Estudios Avanzados IMEDEA (CSIC-UIB), Esporles, Spain |
dc.identifier.pmid | 37322048 |
dc.rights.accessrights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |